Researchers at the MRC Biostatistics Unit are actively engaged in the effort to understand and mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic.  A number of us are members of national scientific and advisory groups, and are involved in collaborations related to the outbreak in the UK, Italy and worldwide

Using statistical modelling, analyses, and design, our researchers are providing

• estimates of key epidemic quantities
• improved understanding of COVID-19 and its effects
• support for improved management of patients and triaging of resources
• evidence for the impact of clinical interventions

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Research Areas

Our work to tackle COVID-19 is centred around three main research areas

Within these research areas, we are working on specific projects to tackle the virus. Click on the links below to find out more

Providing evidence on the course of the epidemic 

• Nowcasting and Forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic
• Nowcasting COVID-19 Deaths
• Analysis of COVID-19 transmission in hospital
• Severity of COVID-19
• Prediction of evolving in-hospital mortality risk for COVID-19 patients

Providing evidence for patient care

• Using genetics to link modifiable risk factors to risk of COVID-19
• Immune recovery from COVID-19

Designing and analysing interventions on care for COVID-19 patients

• Clinical Trials on COVID-19

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People

BSU scientists and PhD students involved in our work on COVID-19

 

Daniela De Angelis, Sylvia Richardson, Brian Tom, Thomas Jaki, Stephen Burgess, Sofia Villar, Paul Kirk,  Chris Wallace, Oscar Rueda, Shaun Seaman, Li Su, Anne Presanis, Robert Goudie, Chris Illingworth, Chris Jackson, Sanmitra Ghosh, Tommy Nyberg, Kevin Kunzmann, Pantelis Samartsidis, Helene Ruffieux, Martin Wiegand, Martin Law, Peter Kirwan, Joshua Blake, Andrew Manderson and Camilla Lingjaerde 

BSU visiting scientists: Paul Birrell and Alice Corbella

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External Groups, Collaborations, and Initiatives

• Joint Modelling Cell at Public Health England (PHE)
• Scientific Pandemic Influenza sub-group on Modelling (SPI-M)
• Royal Statistical Society COVID-19 Taskforce
• The Alan Turing Institute (ATI)
• Joint University Pandemic and Epidemic Response Modelling (JUNIPER)
• COVID-19 Genomics UK Consortium (COG-UK)

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Publications

Full list of publications about our research on COVID-19, organised by research area – COVID-19 Publications

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News

Latest news about our work on COVID-19 – COVID-19 News