Using data available on 18th March 2021 and the improved method described in the article posted on MedRXiv in September, we have estimated the numbers of deaths for England, within 28 days of a positive antigen test.

Estimated number of CoVID deaths per day in all age groups combined in England. CoVID deaths defined as deaths within 28 days of a positive antigen test. Black line shows posterior mean, and shaded region indicated pointwise 95% posterior credible interval. Broken line shows numbers of deaths occurring on each day and reported by 18th March.
Estimates of daily number of CoVID deaths by age group

Estimated number of CoVID deaths per day in the 0-44 age group in England, focusing on most recent 21 days. CoVID deaths defined as deaths within 28 days of a positive antigen test.

Estimated number of CoVID deaths per day in the 45-54 age group in England, focusing on most recent 21 days. CoVID deaths defined as deaths within 28 days of a positive antigen test.

Estimated number of CoVID deaths per day in the 55-64 age group in England, focusing on most recent 21 days. CoVID deaths defined as deaths within 28 days of a positive antigen test.

Estimated number of CoVID deaths per day in the 65-74 age group in England, focusing on most recent 21 days. CoVID deaths defined as deaths within 28 days of a positive antigen test.

Estimated number of CoVID deaths per day in the over 75 age group in England, focusing on most recent 21 days. CoVID deaths defined as deaths within 28 days of a positive antigen test.
Estimates of daily number of CoVID deaths by region